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(6月11日)Uncertainties in Measurements of Mesopause Temperature Trend Using both the standard regression method and the Bootstrap Monte Carlo Method

文章來源: | 發(fā)布時(shí)間:2012-06-07 | 【打印】【關(guān)閉】

時(shí)間:2012611(周一) 上午9:30

地點(diǎn):九章大廈  土星廳

報(bào)告人:David A. Krueger 教授

     美國科羅拉多州立大學(xué)物理系

Abstract: 

   Two methods, based on different assumptions, have been investigated for computing the uncertainty in the trend of 960 mesopause region temperature measurements taken over 20 years. The fitting model includes a trend, annual and semiannual variations, a solar effect, and an episodic term that can be associated with the Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption. There is a nonlinear dependence on parameters describing the episodic term.